THE RISK OF LOSING THE PROBLEM SOLVING SKILLS IN CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY BY PILOTS CIVIL AVIATION 

Golovnin Sergei Mikhailovich, specialist certification, AK Volga-Dnepr, postgraduate student, Ulyanovsk Civil Aviation Institute named after Chief Marshal of aviation B. P. Bugaev (432071, 8/8 Mozhayskogo street, Ulyanovsk, Russia), plane.manual@gmail.com

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10.21685/ 2307-4205-2018-2-9

The article is devoted to the human factor problem and the impact of training of cadets (novice pilots) on flight safety. The importance of exercises, which the cadets are not aware of during the training process, their influence on the overall training and speed of decision making by civil aviation pilots is considered. The results of simulation of training of cadets in view of unexpected exercises for them in the virtual piloting environment are presented, the risks of loss of the problem solving skills in the conditions of uncertainty are considered, taking into account the human factor influence on flight safety and the process of training civil aviation cadets. The main trends in the process of training civil aviation pilots are considered and the theoretical justification of the simulation results of the situation with the help of a virtual piloting environment is given. The results of the study are presented in a graphical form for visualizing the results and probable consequences using statistical forecasting. The statistics of the distribution of hazards by the three main components of man-machine-environment and the explanation of statistical indicators for these areas in the past decades in civil aviation are given. Mention is made of the possibility and importance of working off contingencies on aircraft using a virtual piloting environment, where the risk of actual damage is minimized. A formula is given for calculating the probability of errors committed by civil aviation pilots in the process of performing flights on aircraft and options for increasing the level and safety culture of flights by adjusting training programs for aviation specialists. The conclusions and recommendations of the article are expected to be introduced into training programs for civil aviation specialists, in the future, with a focus on management risks arising in the management of organizations that are elements of the air transport system in order to improve the quality of services in the field of civil aviation and flight safety. The results of the implementation will be detailed in subsequent articles.

safety of flights, risk management, quality management, virtual environment, training of aviation specialists, modeling of flights, human facts in civil aviation